Hari had observed it when Raych was a twelve-year-old street boy, who somehow pulled at his own and at Dors's heartstrings. He remembered how Raych had affected1 Rashelle, the onetime Mayor of Wye. Hari remembered how Joranum had trusted Raych, which led to his own destruction. Raych had even managed to win the heart of the beautiful Manella. Hari did not completely understand this particular quality that Raych embodied2, but he enjoyed whatever contact he had with his foster son.
He entered the apartment with his usual "All well here?"
Raych put aside the holographic material he was working with and rose to greet him, "All well, Dad."
"I don't hear Wanda."
"For good reason. She's out shopping with her mother."
Seldon seated himself and looked good-humoredly at the chaos3 of reference material. "How's the book coming?"
"It's doing fine. It's me who might not survive." He sighed. "But for once, we'll get the straight poop on Dahl. Nobody's ever written a book devoted4 to that section, wouldja believe?"
Seldon had always noted5 that, whenever Raych talked of his home sector6, his Dahlite accent always strengthened.
Raych said, "And how are you, Dad? Glad the festivities are over?"
"Enormously. I hated just about every minute of it."
"Not so anyone could notice."
"Listen, I had to wear a mask of sorts. I didn't want to spoil the celebration for everyone else."
"You must have hated it when Mom chased after you onto the Palace grounds. Everyone I know has been talking about that."
"I certainly did hate it. Your mother, Raych, is the most wonderful person in the world, but she is very difficult to handle. She might have spoiled my plans."
"What plans are those, Dad?"
Seldon settled back. It was always pleasant to speak to someone in whom he had total trust and who knew nothing about psychohistory. More than once he had bounced thoughts off Raych and had worked them out into more sensible forms than would have been the case if those same thoughts had been mulled over in his mind. He said, "Are we shielded?"
"Always."
"Good. What I did was to set General Tennar thinking along curious lines."
"What lines?"
"Well, I discussed taxation7 a bit and pointed8 out that, in the effort to make taxation rest evenly on the population, it grew more and more complex, unwieldy, and costly9. The obvious implication was that the tax system must be simplified."
"That seems to make sense."
"Up to a point, but it is possible that, as a result of our little discussion, Tennar may oversimplify. You see, taxation loses effectiveness at both extremes. Overcomplicate it and people cannot understand it and pay for an overgrown and expensive tax organization. Oversimplify it and people consider it unfair and grow bitterly resentful. The simplest tax is a poll tax, in which every individual pays the same amount, but the unfairness of treating rich and poor alike in this way is too evident to overlook."
"And you didn't explain this to the General?"
"Somehow, I didn't get a chance."
"Do you think the General will try a poll tax?"
"I think he will plan one. If he does, the news is bound to leak out and that alone would suffice to set off riots and possibly upset the government."
"And you've done this on purpose, Dad?"
"Of course."
Raych shook his head. "I don't quite understand you, Dad. In your personal life, you're as sweet and gentle as any person in the Empire. Yet you can deliberately10 set up a situation in which there will be riots, suppression, deaths. There'll be a lot of damage done, Dad. Have you thought of that?"
Seldon leaned back in his chair and said sadly, "I think of nothing else, Raych. When I first began my work on psychohistory, it seemed a purely11 academic piece of research to me. It was something that could not he worked out at all, in all likelihood, and, if it was, it would not be something that could be practically applied12. But the decades pass and we know more and more and then comes the terrible urge to apply it."
"So that people can die?"
"No, so that fewer people can die. If our psychohistorical analyses are correct now, then the junta13 cannot survive for more than a few years and there are various alternative ways in which it can collapse14. They will all he fairly bloody15 and desperate. This method-the taxation gimmick16-should do it more smoothly17 and gently than any other if-I repeat-our analyses are correct."
"If they're not correct, what then?"
"In that case, we don't know what might happen. Still, psychohistory must reach the point where it can be used and we've been searching for years for something in which we have worked out the consequences with a certain assuredness and can find those consequences tolerable as compared with alternatives. In a way, this taxation gimmick is the first great psychohistoric experiment."
"I must admit, it sounds like a simple one."
"It isn't. You have no idea how complex psychohistory is. Nothing is simple. The poll tax has been tried now and then throughout history. It is never popular and it invariably gives rise to resistance of one form or another, but it almost never results in the violent overthrow18 of a government. After all, the powers of governmental oppression may be too strong or there may be methods whereby the people can bring to bear their opposition19 in a peaceful manner and achieve redress20. If a poll tax were invariably or even just sometimes fatal, then no government would ever try it. It is only because it isn't fatal that it is tried repeatedly. The situation on Trantor is, however, not exactly normal. There are certain instabilities that seem clear in psychohistorical analysis, which make it seem that resentment21 will be particularly strong and repression22 particularly weak."
Raych sounded dubious23. "I hope it works, Dad, but don't you think that the General will say that he was working under psychohistorical advice and bring you down with him?"
"I suppose he recorded our little session together, but if he publicizes that, it will show clearly that I urged him to wait till I could analyze24 the situation properly and prepare a report-and he refused to wait."
"And what does Mom think of all this?"
Seldon said, "I haven't discussed it with her. She's off on another tangent altogether."
"Really?"
"Yes. She's trying to sniff25 out some deep conspiracy26 in the Project-aimed at me! I imagine she thinks there are many people in the Project who would like to get rid of me." Seldon sighed. "I'm one of them, I think. I would like to get rid of me as director of the Project and leave the gathering27 responsibilities of psychohistory to others."
Raych said, "What's bugging28 Mom is Wanda's dream. You know how Mom feels about protecting you. I'll bet even a dream about your dying would be enough to make her think of a murder conspiracy against you."
"I certainly hope there isn't one."
And at the idea of it both men laughed.
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1
affected
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| adj.不自然的，假装的 | |
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embodied
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| v.表现( embody的过去式和过去分词 )；象征；包括；包含 | |
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chaos
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| n.混乱，无秩序 | |
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devoted
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| adj.忠诚的，忠实的，热心的，献身于...的 | |
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noted
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| adj.著名的，知名的 | |
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sector
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| n.部门，部分；防御地段，防区；扇形 | |
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taxation
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| n.征税，税收，税金 | |
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pointed
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| adj.尖的，直截了当的 | |
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costly
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| adj.昂贵的，价值高的，豪华的 | |
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deliberately
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| adv.审慎地；蓄意地；故意地 | |
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purely
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| adv.纯粹地，完全地 | |
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applied
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| adj.应用的；v.应用，适用 | |
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junta
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| n.团体；政务审议会 | |
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collapse
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| vi.累倒；昏倒；倒塌；塌陷 | |
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bloody
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| adj.非常的的；流血的；残忍的；adv.很；vt.血染 | |
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gimmick
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| n.(为引人注意而搞的)小革新，小发明 | |
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smoothly
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| adv.平滑地，顺利地，流利地，流畅地 | |
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overthrow
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| v.推翻，打倒，颠覆；n.推翻，瓦解，颠覆 | |
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opposition
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| n.反对，敌对 | |
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redress
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| n.赔偿，救济，矫正；v.纠正，匡正，革除 | |
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resentment
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| n.怨愤，忿恨 | |
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repression
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| n.镇压，抑制，抑压 | |
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dubious
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| adj.怀疑的，无把握的；有问题的，靠不住的 | |
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analyze
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| vt.分析，解析 (=analyse) | |
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sniff
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| vi.嗅…味道；抽鼻涕；对嗤之以鼻，蔑视 | |
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conspiracy
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| n.阴谋，密谋，共谋 | |
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gathering
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| n.集会，聚会，聚集 | |
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bugging
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| [法] 窃听 | |
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